Report Says Trump Immigration Policies Could Cost Nevada's Economy $441 Million by the End of This Year

What the report found

The Trump administration's immigration agenda could strip legal protections from roughly 15,000 people in Nevada and cost the state's economy an estimated $441 million by the end of this year, the Nevada Current reported. The figures come from an analysis by Fwd.us, an immigrant advocacy organization that released the report earlier this month.

The report also found that about 7,000 people in Nevada have government-authorized work permits. According to the Nevada Current, the analysis warned that the number of people losing status could unsettle the state's economy and also harm mixed-status families in communities across Nevada.

Who could be affected

Around 80,000 immigrants in Nevada hold some form of protected status, according to the analysis. That includes DACA, temporary protected status (TPS), asylum, and U-Visas, which apply to survivors of violent crimes. About 52,000 of those people rely on work permits.

Construction and hospitality workers

Construction and hospitality are the top industries for the affected workers, the report found. Each sector could lose roughly 2,000 workers, according to the Nevada Current's account of the analysis.

Mixed-status families

The analysis said the changes threaten the stability of mixed-status households that include as many as 4,000 children in Nevada who are U.S. citizens. According to the Nevada Current, the report warned of harm to these families in addition to the effects on the state's economy.

Salvadorans with temporary protected status

U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services notified Salvadorans that their TPS would expire Sept. 9, the Nevada Current reported. About 6,000 Salvadorans live in Nevada. Immigration experts say federal law requires the Department of Homeland Security to decide whether a country still qualifies for TPS at least 60 days before it expires, and protections for Salvadorans remain intact until DHS makes an official decision, according to the Nevada Current.

The administration has also stripped protected status from people from Haiti, Venezuela, Afghanistan and Cuba, according to the Nevada Current.

Tax and economic estimates

The roughly 52,000 people in Nevada who rely on work permits contribute an estimated $1.8 billion to the state's economy each year, the analysis said. Under current projections, the 15,000 people expected to lose status this year could cost the state about $40 million in annual state and local taxes, plus $48 million in federal and payroll taxes.

By the end of Trump's first year back in office, an estimated 2,000 people in Nevada had lost their immigration status, according to the report. Half of them had been in the state with work permits.

Projections through 2028

If the current trajectory holds, roughly 34,000 people in Nevada could lose immigration status by the end of 2028, the analysis projected. About 21,000 of them could lose work authorization, including 7,000 in construction, 5,000 in hospitality and another 2,000 in health care and education.

The report projected total losses in Nevada of 21,000 workers, an "$849 million loss in annual economic contributions" and $220 million a year in combined taxes, as quoted by the Nevada Current.

The national picture

Nationally, roughly a million people had lost temporary protected status as of August 2026, according to Fwd.us. Roughly 3.5 million immigrants are projected to lose status by the end of 2028, the Nevada Current reported.

What to watch next

• A formal DHS decision on whether El Salvador still qualifies for TPS, which affects Salvadorans in Nevada, about 6,000 of whom live in the state.
• Whether the projected loss of status for roughly 15,000 people in Nevada by year-end holds as the year closes.
• The Fwd.us projection that about 34,000 people in Nevada could lose status by the end of 2028 on the current trajectory.